ABSTRACT
The purpose of the current work is to provide the numerical solutions of the fractional mathematical system of the susceptible, infected and quarantine (SIQ) system based on the lockdown effects of the coronavirus disease. These investigations provide more accurateness by using the fractional SIQ system. The investigations based on the nonlinear, integer and mathematical form of the SIQ model together with the effects of lockdown are also presented in this work. The impact of the lockdown is classified into the susceptible/infection/quarantine categories, which is based on the system of differential models. The fractional study is provided to find the accurate as well as realistic solutions of the SIQ model using the artificial intelligence (AI) performances along with the scale conjugate gradient (SCG) design, i.e., AI-SCG. The fractional-order derivatives have been used to solve three different cases of the nonlinear SIQ differential model. The statics to perform the numerical results of the fractional SIQ dynamical system are 7% for validation, 82% for training and 11% for testing. To observe the exactness of the AI-SCG procedure, the comparison of the numerical attained performances of the results is presented with the reference Adam solutions. For the validation, authentication, aptitude, consistency and validity of the AI-SCG solver, the computing numerical results have been provided based on the error histograms, state transition measures, correlation/regression values and mean square error. Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00738-9.
ABSTRACT
The purpose of the current work is to provide the numerical solutions of the fractional mathematical system of the susceptible, infected and quarantine (SIQ) system based on the lockdown effects of the coronavirus disease. These investigations provide more accurateness by using the fractional SIQ system. The investigations based on the nonlinear, integer and mathematical form of the SIQ model together with the effects of lockdown are also presented in this work. The impact of the lockdown is classified into the susceptible/infection/quarantine categories, which is based on the system of differential models. The fractional study is provided to find the accurate as well as realistic solutions of the SIQ model using the artificial intelligence (AI) performances along with the scale conjugate gradient (SCG) design, i.e., AI-SCG. The fractional-order derivatives have been used to solve three different cases of the nonlinear SIQ differential model. The statics to perform the numerical results of the fractional SIQ dynamical system are 7% for validation, 82% for training and 11% for testing. To observe the exactness of the AI-SCG procedure, the comparison of the numerical attained performances of the results is presented with the reference Adam solutions. For the validation, authentication, aptitude, consistency and validity of the AI-SCG solver, the computing numerical results have been provided based on the error histograms, state transition measures, correlation/regression values and mean square error. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00738-9.
ABSTRACT
In this study, the nonlinear mathematical model of COVID-19 is investigated by stochastic solver using the scaled conjugate gradient neural networks (SCGNNs). The nonlinear mathematical model of COVID-19 is represented by coupled system of ordinary differential equations and is studied for three different cases of initial conditions with suitable parametric values. This model is studied subject to seven class of human population N(t) and individuals are categorized as: susceptible S(t), exposed E(t), quarantined Q(t), asymptotically diseased IA (t), symptomatic diseased IS (t) and finally the persons removed from COVID-19 and are denoted by R(t). The stochastic numerical computing SCGNNs approach will be used to examine the numerical performance of nonlinear mathematical model of COVID-19. The stochastic SCGNNs approach is based on three factors by using procedure of verification, sample statistics, testing and training. For this purpose, large portion of data is considered, i.e., 70%, 16%, 14% for training, testing and validation, respectively. The efficiency, reliability and authenticity of stochastic numerical SCGNNs approach are analysed graphically in terms of error histograms, mean square error, correlation, regression and finally further endorsed by graphical illustrations for absolute errors in the range of 10-05 to 10-07 for each scenario of the system model.
ABSTRACT
The current work aims to design a computational framework based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the optimization procedures of global and local search approach to solve the nonlinear dynamics of the spread of COVID-19, i.e., the SEIR-NDC model. The combination of the Genetic algorithm (GA) and active-set approach (ASA), i.e., GA-ASA, works as a global-local search scheme to solve the SEIR-NDC model. An error-based fitness function is optimized through the hybrid combination of the GA-ASA by using the differential SEIR-NDC model and its initial conditions. The numerical performances of the SEIR-NDC nonlinear model are presented through the procedures of ANNs along with GA-ASA by taking ten neurons. The correctness of the designed scheme is observed by comparing the obtained results based on the SEIR-NDC model and the reference Adams method. The absolute error performances are performed in suitable ranges for each dynamic of the SEIR-NDC model. The statistical analysis is provided to authenticate the reliability of the proposed scheme. Moreover, performance indices graphs and convergence measures are provided to authenticate the exactness and constancy of the proposed stochastic scheme.